Trading Tactics for Best Performing Days

Interestingly, 10 out of the 13 biggest performing days in the market were selling opportunities that failed over the next 100 days. The largest gains occurred in bear markets or downtrends. Wednesday, April 9, 2025, joined that elite group with a 12.2% gain. What transpires from here will remain to be seen.

The largest drawdowns occurred in 2000 and 2008, while the strongest advances that followed through and worked were in 2009 and 2020.

Therefore, it is incumbent for us to discern if we are positioned in a 2020 bottom or a 2009 bottom.

Current Market Conditions

Certainly, oversold indicators such as:

• The percentage of stocks trading above the 50-day moving average
• The percentage of stocks trading above the 200-day moving average

…are trading at extreme low levels. Additionally, the bull/bear sentiment is approaching extreme contrary levels (bullish). However, we do not have a lot of setups. The setups are almost entirely beaten-up stocks and those that have had devastating declines. These do not have CANSLIM characteristics in most cases.

Historical Analysis of Best Performing Days

In every case looking at the top 20 best performing days in the market, there was notably overhead resistance. In almost every case, it was choppy and it took days and weeks before a real uptrend developed.

We have annotated these prior top 20 days for study.

We have included the charts that we have annotated to further your research efforts. We certainly feel it is important to study the past situations for future precedents.

What Happens Next?

Currently, the market is in a downtrend and there is enormous overhead resistance. It is not likely we will have a V‑Recovery especially with earnings looming. Probably, the next new leaders will expose themselves during an earnings report.

New bull markets are normally born with new leadership.
The next couple of weeks will determine if a new uptrend is underway or a genuinely great selling opportunity is here.

Economically, it probably comes down to whether we have a recession or not. If we continue to be in a Goldilocks economy and avoid a recession, the low is in. If we experience a recession, likely we have another leg lower.

As always, the charts should tell us.

Currently, there is no leadership. Perhaps PLTR, HOOD, DASH, SPOT, or TGTX will lead the way.

Trade well.

— Roy and Wes

Disclaimers

The information contained herein has been prepared by Roy Mattox on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other third‑party sources believed to be reliable. Mr. Mattox has not sought to independently verify information obtained from public and third‑party sources and makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of such information. All opinions and views constitute judgments as of the date of writing without regard to the date on which the reader may receive or access the information, and are subject to change at any time without notice and with no obligation to update. This material is for informational and illustrative purposes only and is intended solely for the information of those to whom it is distributed. No part of this material may be reproduced or re‑transmitted in any manner without the prior written permission of Roy Mattox. Mr. Mattox does not represent, warrant or guarantee that this information is suitable for any investment purpose and it should not be used as a basis for investment decisions.

PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR INDICATE FUTURE RESULTS.

This material should not be viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investment products or to adopt any investment strategy. The reader should not assume that any investments in companies, securities, sectors, strategies and/or markets identified or described herein were or will be profitable and no representation is made that any investor will or is likely to achieve results comparable to those shown or will make any profit or will be able to avoid incurring substantial losses. Performance differences for certain investors may occur due to various factors, including timing of investment. Investment return will fluctuate and may be volatile, especially over short time horizons.

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