Trending, Slight Downside Reversal
Richard Moglen
Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue
September 16, 2025
Market Action
QQQ – New high as we continue to trend above the MAs. Slight downside reversal off highs. Ideally we consolidate for a few days to let the MAs catch up. Be ready for a sharp stress test day.
FOMC news tomorrow could be a catalyst (or just an excuse) for a volatile day. Be ready.
Bulls want to see continued progress above the MAs
Bears want to see a sharp break lower with a negative close.
Daily Chart of the QQQ.
IWM – Upside reversal off the pivot and 10ema area
IBIT – Push higher from the upside reversal day. Continues to push up the right side
Trends (4/4 Up) – Based on the QQQ
Shortest – 10 Day EMA – Above
Short-term – 21 ema – Above
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Above Rising
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Above Rising
Groups/Sectors
Deepvue Theme Tracker
Deepvue Leaders
S&P 500.
Leadership Stocks & Analysis
TSLA Inside day, acting well. Ideally forms a tight range letting the 10 ema catch up a bit. Expecting reconfirmation. To the downside that gap remains unfilled. It could pull in hard to fill that and still be in character. Would then be a spot to watch for a push higher from.
AAPL Fade off highs
PLTR Tightening more. Watching for continuation. I still feel like this base needs more time to develop
NVDA Leaking lower a bit back into the MA area.
META follow through higher
HOOD Slight push higher off the pivot area and the 10ema
RDDT Overall tight day
ALAB Trending.
MSFT Downside reversal closing back below the 50sma
Key Moves
BE gap up as it continues the strong trend since the ORCL partnership catalyst
SEDG follow through up above the 21ema
PARR follow through up. oil and gas theme.
Setups and Watchlist
AMSC watching for a consolidation breakout
CMPO watching for a range breakout.
FIG watching for a range breakout. New IPO Swing Idea
GDS watching for follow through and a flag breakout
GRAL watching for a range breakout. Very fast mover. Health care AI biotech
NBIS watching for a range breakout. focus tomorrow
TEM watching for follow through up. Another bounce off the 10ema
ORCL faded people today. watching for range re-breakout
AMD watching for a pop through the 21ema
RSI. watching for a range breakout from the inside day on the 21
OUST choppy recently but watching for follow through. Fast mover
ZEPP still in this flag, watching for a breakout. Very fast mover
Today’s Watchlist in List form
Focus List Names
AMSC CMPO FIG GDS GRAL NBIS TEM ORCL AMD RSI OUST ZEPP RDDT
Focus:
NBIS AMD TEM
Themes
Strongest Themes: AI, Miners, Software, Energy
Market Thoughts & Focus
Continued good action. Stretched a bit in short term. Remember to stay focused and centered. After strong expansion comes expansion and pullback, things don’t go up in a straight line. Expecting some stress tests. Be ready, know your plan for every position you have.
Anything can happen, Day by Day – Managing risk along the way
Continue Reading The Full Trade Lab Report
Get instant access to comprehensive market analysis that cuts through the noise and shows you exactly where the opportunities are
Recent Trade Lab Reports
-
-
Trade Opportunity Case Studies of the Week: TSLA and ALAB Breakouts – | Sep 14 2025
September 14, 20256 min read -
TSLA Follows Through. Strong Week for AI, Semis, Growth Stocks
September 12, 20254 min read -
