Semis Coiled?
Richard Moglen
Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue
August 18, 2025
Market Action
QQQ – Tightening back into the 10ema.
Bulls want to see us respect that level and continue to trend
Bears want to see us break lower or experience a large downside reversal
Daily Chart of the QQQ.
IWM – forming a flag the past 3 days after the expansion here
IBIT – upside reversal but below the 21ema. To my eye this is a base on base consolidation that it is forming
Trends (4/4 Up) – Based on the QQQ
Shortest – 10 Day EMA – Above
Short-term – 21 ema – Above
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Above Rising
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Above Rising
Groups/Sectors
Deepvue Theme Tracker
Deepvue Leaders Heatmap
S&P 500.
Leadership
TSLA tightening above the 21ema. Looks ready for expansion
AAPL Flagging constructively
PLTR Want to see it hold the HVC area. Longer term uptrend. Watching for reversal up
NVDA tight against the 10 and 21 emas
META follow through down after the downside reversal, overall consolidating after the earnings gap.
HOOD continues the bounce off the 21ema
RDDT slight reversal down, ideally tightens above the ATH pivot.
ALAB strong action off the 10ema
MSFT closing slightly below the 21ema.
Key Moves
APLD gap and go move
TEM push off the pivot level. Below ATHs still but noticing the pick up in volume
Setups and Watchlist
APP watching for a range breakout. tightening against the pviot
GFI watching for a range breakout. inside day
MRCY watching for a range breakout
PAAS watching for a range breakout
XMTR watching for a range breakout
AORT watching for a range breakout
PI watching for a consolidation breakout
DLO watching for follow through up
MP watching for follow through up
RKLB squat today but watching for range breakout
Today’s Watchlist in List form
Focus List Names
APP GFI MRCY PAAS AORT XMTR PI DLO MP RKLB
Focus:
PI XMTR RKLB
Themes
Strongest Themes: Software, Cyber, Nuclear Power, Semis, Miners
Market Thoughts & Focus
WLs acting well. Still seeing multiple post gap/post expansion ranges setting up. Semis look coiled we will see which way they expand.
Anything can happen, Day by Day – Managing risk along the way
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