Pullback to End a Strong Week

Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen

Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue

Market Action

QQQ – Downside reversal to end a constructive week. Overall we had a strong move up and have now started forming a range sideways

Short Term Expectation based on the close is consolidation or lower.

Bulls want to see build sideways and follow through up, or a sharp fill of the gap and close back in the range
Bears want to see us follow through lower

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IWM – fade off highs and no real follow through up after the thursday reversal. Still in this range below the 50sma

Bulls want to see us continue higher through the 50 or flag out constructively

Bears want to see us follow through lower

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IBIT- Gap up but then a fade off of the highs. Still in this range below all time highs

Bulls want to see us build out sideways here then follow through up breaking out of the base

Bears want to see us follow through lower

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Trends (4/4 Up) – Based on the QQQ

Shortest – 10 Day EMA –  Above Rising
Short-term – 21 ema – Above Rising
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Above Rising
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Above Rising

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Groups/Sectors

Performance Today from open on the Left, Performance over the past 20 days on the right.

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Performance Charts from Deepvue

Deepvue Leaders Heatmap

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Heatmap from Deepvue

S&P 500

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Group Ranks: 1 Day, 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Month from left to right. This is now a preset for Deepvue Members

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Post Market Action

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Leaders and Key Moves

NVDA downside reversal, could be an important short term momentum change

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TSLA still pulling back before earnings

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RDDT still tight at the pivot but another fade off highs, watching out for follow through down

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GEV broke yesterday’s low, was extended so some pullback expected, looking for a controlled and orderly pause instead of a rapid break lower.

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PLTR fade at the pivot, watching for a range to form above the 21ema

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ALAB disappointed about this one, no follow through up and instead a reversal of most of the powerful upside move

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MSTR negative break of multiple lows and the 21ema. needs to firm up or at risk of starting a downcycle

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TWLO strong gap up on large volume. Decent close amid the market action. Watching how this acts early next week for a potential entry and as a gauge of risk appetite

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BE great action from the tight range at the 50 day and oops reversal thursday

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Stocks Setting Up / Holding Up

PRMB swing trade idea, watching for push through the range

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APP tight day friday, watching for a push up from this pivot

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RBRK watching for push off the pivot retest

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EQT swing trade idea, watching for mini base breakout

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RDDT watching for push off the pivot

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CRNC speculative swing trade idea through the pivot

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SNOW watching for push through the pivot

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NFLX watching for push higher, ideally sets more of a range post gap

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TSLA watching for positive expectation breaker monday, otherwise earnings this week. Not much time to build a cushion

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BROS swing trade idea, watching for push from the tight inside day

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PLTR watching for positive expectation breaker, or a range to build here, or a sharp upside reversal

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TEM watching for a range to build out here, big volume off base lows

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COIN watching for positive expectation breaker, or undercut and rally of the range

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IBIT friday was very negative but watching for positive expectation breaker. IBIT still looks good

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HSAI watching for high tight flag breakout

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GLBE watching for push from tight day

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Themes and Leaders

Key Themes: Software, AI, Semis. Crypto, Energy. Space

These names have the top RS, growth stories

TSLA GEV RDDT ALAB VST MSTR COIN NVDA HOOD VRT

Market Thoughts & Focus

Pullback friday so we will have ot see if that follows through monday, Overall good action after a strong move up.

Daily Focus will be on COIN MSTR ALAB

Anything can happen, Day by Day – Managing risk along the way

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