Fed Volatility – Upside Reversal
Richard Moglen
Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue
September 17, 2025
Market Action
QQQ – Stress test today that so far we’ve passed. Volatile upside reversal day pushing off the 10ema. We continue to trend above the moving averages.
The Fed cut 25 bps, signaled more cuts in the future
Bulls want to see continued progress above the MAs or constructive tightening/range building
Bears want to see a leak lower and undercut of today’s lows
Daily Chart of the QQQ.
IWM – Big fade off highs. back in the range
IBIT – Tightening against the moving averages up the right side.
Trends (4/4 Up) – Based on the QQQ
Shortest – 10 Day EMA – Above
Short-term – 21 ema – Above
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Above Rising
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Above Rising
Groups/Sectors
Deepvue Theme Tracker
Deepvue Leaders
S&P 500.
Leadership Stocks & Analysis
TSLA – A+ action since the range and base breakout so far. Positive outside day. Expecting this to trend abvoe the 10ema
AAPL inside day close to recent highs
PLTR Big shakeout type move undercuttign the recent ranges and closing strong. Watching for continuation
NVDA Weakness with the gap down. Will be watching for a sharp reversal back up or else this may need more time. Keep it on your watchlist
META large range day.
HOOD So far it has bounced off the pivot but not with vigor. Ideally sets up a tight day, one more pullback, and then reconfirms
RDDT upside reversal off the pivot. Some news catalyst with google. One to watch for a range breakout
ALAB Trending.
MSFT Upside reversal at the MAs, watching for a push higher now
Key Moves
GDS gap and go
AMSC strong breakout, watching for follow through
NBIS range breakout
Setups and Watchlist
DQ watching for a range breakout. Swing trade type name
SHOP watching for a range breakout.
STRL watching for a consolidation breakout
TTMI watching for a range re-breakout
TEM watching for a range breakout.
ZEPP watching for a flag breakout. Fast mover
CRWV watching for a range breakout, could mature this range a bit.
GRAL watching for a range breakout
RSI. watching for a range breakout
FIG watching for re-breakout
CMPO watching for a range breakout
PARR watching for the base breakout. Inside day
LASR watching for a breakout
AMD watching for a breakout through the 21
Today’s Watchlist in List form
Focus List Names
DQ SHOP STRL TTMI TEM ZEPP CRWV GRAL RSI FIG CMPO PARR LASR RDDT NVDA AMD PLTR
Focus:
RDDT PLTR NVDA
Themes
Strongest Themes: AI, Metals/Miners, Software, Energy, Crypto Miners
Market Thoughts & Focus
Good action after the stress test, How we act through the end of the week will be key. Ideally the indexes pause as names continue to work
Anything can happen, Day by Day – Managing risk along the way
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