Slight Rally Attempt to End the Week

Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen

Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue

November 21, 2025
11 min read
Market Trend Status
Trend: 3 of 4 DOWN
✗ 10 EMA ✗ 21 EMA ✗ 50 SMA ✓ 200 SMA

Market Action

The truth of it is that we are in a correction now below all the moving averages. Our job now is to observe and look for the conditions of the indexes and leading names to improve and set up for the next uptrend. Slight upside reversal today after Thursday’s sell off bar. Today’s low become the rally attempt low and we want to see it hold and then reconfirm higher.
Advanced swing traders can look for spots but no need to get aggressive trying to pick lows.

But don’t get too negative! Take this time to do your homework and prepare for the next uptrend. Be ready, things can shape up faster than we expect.

QQQ
Below the moving averages as they curl down. Today's low is key to hold.
QQQ chart
IWM
Stronger close and testing the declining 10ema. Below all the MAs
IWM chart
IBIT
Extended down from the moving averages but this is serious selling. We'll see if BTC bounces this weekend.
IBIT chart

Trends 1/4 Up – based on the QQQ

Shortest – 10 Day EMA –   Below
Short-term – 21 ema – Below
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Below Rising
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Above Rising

Groups/Sectors

THEME TRACKER
Genomics top again. Everything bouncing.
THEME TRACKER
DEEPVUE LEADERS HEATMAP
Health care and Bios still strongest.
DEEPVUE LEADERS HEATMAP
S&P Heatmap
Some follow through down in semis & software
S&P Heatmap

Leadership Stocks & Analysis

TSLA
Some follow through lower. Held above the recent swing low. Bulls would watch for a range reclaim
TSLA chart
AAPL
Continues to hold up impressively. On a market bounce would be watching for follow through higher,
AAPL chart
AMZN
So far no follow through lower after the Thursday bar. Today's low is key. Watching for a bounce into the 10ema.
AMZN chart
META
Has not really made a new low the last 4 days. Watching for a bounce attempt into the 21ema area if recent lows hold.
META chart
GOOG
Still clearly the strongest mega. Trending. Inside day today above the MAs
GOOG chart
NVDA
Big upside reversal. Potential swing low. Watching for follow through above the base pivot.
NVDA chart
AMD
Undercut and Rally of the gap low. Potential swing low in. Watching for follow through higher.
AMD chart
PLTR
Very stretched but weak. Likely bounces into the declining 10ema in the short term.
PLTR chart
INTC
Right at a key level. Watching for follow through higher
INTC chart
MU
Upside reversal on the 50sma. First pullback. Watching for follow through higher
MU chart
VRT
Undercut and rally of the base pivot.
VRT chart
BE
Strong close on big volume. This has been a sharp selloff and looks more like a left side of a new base than a normal pullback. LEU looks similar.
BE chart
LLY
And then over in biotech land it's all rosy haha.
LLY chart

Key Moves

TXG
Strong Consolidation breakout.
TXG chart
GRAL
Range re-breakout
GRAL chart
COMP
Have highlighted this one recently. Handle breakout.
COMP chart

Setups and Watchlist

TEVA
Watching for an HVC Reclaim
TEVA chart
JAZZ
Would prefer a shakeout/upside reversal but watching for a range breakout.
JAZZ chart
ESTA
Watching for a consolidation Breakout
ESTA chart
TDC
Watching for a post gap range breakout. Has held up well
TDC chart
APPN
Actionable today on the 10ema reclaim. Watching for follow through higher/flag breakout
APPN chart
FROG
Watching for a HVC Reclaim
FROG chart
RIVN
Choppy and still Stage 1. Watching for a range breakout if the market follows through
RIVN chart
COLL
Watching for a post gap range breakout
COLL chart
DY
Watching for a range breakout. Data center construction. Impressive how it held the gap low yesterday.
DY chart
LMND
Has held the earnings gap low on a closing basis. Watching for follow through higher.
LMND chart
AUPH
Watching for a range breakout.
AUPH chart
VICR
Watching for an HVC Reclaim. Also the data center theme. Up
VICR chart
FLS
Reclaimed a level today. Watching for and HVC reclaim next. Has held the 21ema
FLS chart
STNG
Watching for a range breakout and follow through
STNG chart

Watchlist & Themes

Weekly Watchlist

TEVA JAZZ ESTA TDC APPN FROG RIVN COLL DY LMND FLS VICR AUPH STNG TSLA AMD INTC NVDA

Focus List

TSLA AMD DY COLL

Universe List

AAPL ALAB AMD AMZN APLD ARM BABA BE BKKT CCJ CLSK CRDO CRS DELL FIX FLS FSLR GGAL GOOG GOOGL GRAL HOOD HUT INSM INTC LEU LMND MELI META MSFT MU NBIS NET NIO NVDA OPEN PATH PLTR QCOM RGTI RKLB RMBS SHOP SNDK SNOW SOUN STNG STRL STUB TAC TEM TER TWLO VRT MDGL RIVN SEDG TDC VCYT U QLYS NXT DDOG METC TXG ASTS CRWD FLY CSIQ

Recent Gaps

AKAM AMD AMGN AMZN APPN BBAI BE CAH COHR CRS DDOG DOCN DY EXPE FLS FROG GCT GGAL GH GTX HAE HCC ILMN INTC ISRG LC LMND MEDP NET OPEN PAM PBF PEGA PGNY PLNT QCOM QLYS RDDT RIVN ROK SANM SITM SLDP TDC TWLO TXG U VCYT VIAV VICR VIST XMTR YPF

Additional Thoughts

Slightly encouraged going through charts. Today’s lows are key to hold. Potential for a bounce early next week.

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