Oops Reversals to End a Volatile Week

Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen

Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue

Market Trend Status
Trend: 2 of 4 DOWN
✗ 10 EMA ✗ 21 EMA ✓ 50 SMA ✓ 200 SMA

Market Action

Gap down and strong recovery to end a choppy weak that overall saw us break down lower from a range and test the 50sma area again. Leaders have taken some hits but overall I think we have been consolidating. Today’s lows are certainly key moving forward. We are still below the 10 and 21ema on the QQQ and need to see follow through early next week to confirm the strength.

Many stocks and indexes showed Oops reversals today which is when we gap down below the prior day’s low and rally back through that level. This can be the start of a short term momentum change.

QQQ
Oops reversal and reclaiming the 50 sma. Still has work to do. Slight undercut today of the prior key low.
IWM
Weaker and choppier. Below all the MAs. Good strength off the open
IBIT
Following through down. It will be interesting to see how crypto names react over the weekend.

Trends 2/4 Up – based on the QQQ

Shortest – 10 Day EMA –   Below
Short-term – 21 ema – Below
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Above Rising
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Above Rising

Groups/Sectors

THEME TRACKER
Strong action off the open from growth and solar
Deepvue heatmap
Strong bounce off the open
S&P Heatmap
Growth names and oil & gas themes stand out

Leadership Stocks & Analysis

TSLA
Potential reversal extension today and oops reversal. Watching for follow through up and higher lows
AAPL
holding up extremely well above the 10ema
AMZN
Leaking below the base pivot. Bulls want to see that reclaimed quickly. Fade off highs.
META
Oops reversal in the context of a larger downtrend
GOOG
Oops reversal and reclaim of the 21ema
NVDA
Oops reversal off the base pivot. I view all the action since July 31 as composite basing. Needs to hold today's low. Earnings upcoming
AMD
Flagging here. Watching for follow through up. My top focus in semis
PLTR
Oops reversal but below all the MAs
INTC
Today's low is a very key level. 50sma and consolidation low.
MU
Trending
VRT
Push off the 50sma area
BE
Oops reversal. First test of the 50sma. But recent action does seem like a character change.

Key Moves

CSIQ
Strong action. Solar theme. See NXT as well
FIGR
Pop through the 21ema

Setups and Watchlist

INSM
Persistent strength in Bios. Added risk with these names. Watching for a range breakout.
GMED
Watching for a post gap flag breakout
ONON
Longer term trend is bad but highest volume ever gap up. Watching for a trend change and range breakout higher
PAM
Watching for a range breakout
TER
I like the weekly chart, watching for an HVC reclaim
TDC
Watching for an HVC reclaim
DDOG
Watching for follow through up
FLS
Watching for an HVC reclaim
KVYO
Longer term downtrend but highest volume since the IPO last earnings, watching for a flag breakout.
PATH
Watching for a range breakout. more keeping tabs on this one. Big weekly volume recently.
BTU
Watching for follow through higher
TARS
Watching for a flag breakout
VICR
Watching for follow through higher. Fast mover.

Watchlist & Themes

Daily Watchlist

INSM GMED ONON PAM TER TDC DDOG FLS KVYO PATH BTU TARS VICR AMD

Daily Focus

DDOG AMD TARS INSM

Universe List

AAPL ALAB AMD AMZN APLD ARM BABA BE BKKT CCJ CLSK CRDO CRS DELL FIX FLS FSLR GGAL GOOG GOOGL GRAL HOOD HUT INSM INTC LEU LMND MELI META MSFT MU NBIS NET NIO NVDA OPEN PATH PLTR QCOM RGTI RKLB RMBS SHOP SNDK SNOW SOUN STNG STRL STUB TAC TEM TER TWLO VRT MDGL RIVN SEDG TDC VCYT U QLYS NXT DDOG METC TXG ASTS CRWD FLY CSIQ

Recent Gaps

AKAM AMD AMGN AMZN APPN BBAI BE CAH COHR CRS DDOG DOCN EXPE FLS FROG GCT GGAL GH GTX HAE HCC ILMN INTC ISRG LC LMND MEDP NET OPEN PAM PBF PEGA PGNY PLNT QCOM QLYS RDDT RIVN ROK SANM SITM SLDP TDC TWLO TXG U VCYT VIAV VICR VIST XMTR YPF

Additional Thoughts

Constructive day today that likely is the short term momentum low. Sentiment got very negative last night. AI, Solar, Data Centers, Biotech, Oil & Gas, Gold/Silver, Energy the key themes for me.

Now we need to see follow through higher.

Recent Trade Lab Reports

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