Positive Expectation Breakers
Richard Moglen
Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue
June 16, 2025
Market Action
QQQ – Very strong action with a gap up and solid close. Many leaders did the same.
Bulls want to see us follow through up
Bears want us reverse lower and fill the gap
Daily Chart of the QQQ.
IWM – Gap up and hold but meh close
IBIT – Strong action, back at the pivot level
Trends (4/4 Up) – Based on the QQQ
Shortest – 10 Day EMA – Above Rising
Short-term – 21 ema – Above Rising
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Above Rising
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Above Rising
Groups/Sectors
Deepvue Theme Tracker
Deepvue Leaders Heatmap
S&P 500.
Leadership
TSLA very tight day, expecting expansion
PLTR Fade off highs
NVDA push but fade at the pivot
META positive expectation breaker
HOOD positive expectation breaker
MSTR Weaker than IBIT and COIN
CRWD forming a range
UBER Gap up but fade at the 21ema area
HIMS push from the tightish day
Key Moves
STNE strong push off the 21ema and from the tight day
COIN Gap and Go
Setups and Watchlist
GH watching for a handle breakout from the inside day
VEEV watching for a post gap range breakoout
GWRE watching for a push from the tight day
TEM watching for a breakout, ideally pauses and lets the 10ema catch up to lows
GRAL watching from a breakout move
NXT watching for follow through
RBRK watching for a push from the tight day
SNOW watching for a range breakout
GEV watching for a range breakout
Today’s Watchlist in List form
Key Names
NVDA, TSLA, META, PLTR, MSTR, CRWD UBER HOOD HIMS
GH, VEEV, GWRE, TEM, GRAL, NXT, RBRK, SNOW, GEV
Focus:
TSLA SNOW VEEV GEV
Themes and Leaders
Strongest Themes: BTC, Miners, Software, Cyber, Nuclear Power
Market Thoughts & Focus
No real negative reaction to news catalysts so far. lots of positive expectation breakers today. Watching for follow through and strong close to the week.
Anything can happen, Day by Day – Managing risk along the way
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