Biotechs Act Well – Choppy Post Fed Action

Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen

Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue

March 19, 2025

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Market Action

QQQ – Overall constructive day albeit choppy with the Fed. We gained 1% then lost 1% off highs and closed back below the 10ema.

The short term expectation based on today’s close and recent action is consolidation or higher. Continuing to expect volatility.

Bulls want to see us push firmly from this range with a statement day

Bears want to see us reverse lower and test the lows of this range

Daily Chart of the QQQ:

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.45.30

IWM – Strong bar after the tight day

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.47.27

IBIT- gap up and strong close abvoe the recent range. Into the 10ema area

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.47.53

Trends (0/4 Up) – Based on the QQQ

Shortest – 10 Day EMA –  Below declining
Short-term – 21 ema – Below declining
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Below declining
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Below Increasing

Groups/Sectors

Performance Today from open on the Left, Performance over the past 20 days on the right.

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.50.22

Performance Charts from Deepvue

Deepvue Leaders Heatmap

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.50.53

S&P 500

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.50.34

Heatmap from Deepvue

Group Ranks: 1 Day, 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Month from left to right. This is now a preset for Deepvue Members

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.51.11

Leaders and Key Moves

Important Note: Many of these “leaders” are leading to the downside. Still they provide a good gauge of market environment. As new leaders reveal themselves I will curate this list.

NVDA Rejected at the 21ema, watching for further weakness

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.51.34

TSLA Yesterday is potentially a subtle higher low and is the key level to be respected. Still below the declining MAs

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.52.02

META Testing the 200sma area. Below the short term moving averages

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.52.41

RDDT Testing lows

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.53.14

PLTR tightening below the 21ema. Watching for a pop above

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.53.30

OKTA Great action, forming a tight range here

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.55.02

MSTR Strong action pushing from the 21ema

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.55.34

ROOT still in this range, some fade today

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.56.00

BABA flagging back into the 10ema on declining volume, watching for reconfirmation

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.56.25

TGTX reconfirmation

Xnapper 2025 03 19 16.45.30

Stocks Setting Up / Showing RS

5 Day Slope % Change in Deepvue has been my new favorite way of spotting stocks showing Relative Strength.

Now that this rally is about 5 days old I also like to use Price % Change 5 Days to see what has bounced the hardest.

As mentioned before 1 day of positive action is not enough, we want to look for persistent relative strength and stocks that are forming sound bases in new leading themes.

RBRK Forming a tight range post gap

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.00.46

DOCS tightening against this level, potentially forming base bottom, watching for pop from the range through the 21ema

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.01.33

MDGL tight action on the 21ema in this base. Biotech so added risk

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.02.10

MP forming a range post breakout, watching for reconfirmation

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.02.34

PTGX watching for reconfirmation through highs

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.03.19

VRTX upside reversal in this tight range above the pivot. Watching for breakout through highs

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.04.07

ZLAB watching for reconfirmation up from this tight range. Push from inside day

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.04.41

HSAI watching for push higher, holding this range

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.22.25

ASND watching for follow through up

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.06.08

TAL watching for breakout from this range

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.06.54

AXSM watching for range breakout

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.08.31

ACMR tight days on low volume, ideally pulls in more to the 10 ema then pushes up

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.08.53

PAGP at the DTL watching for break higher

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.09.45

SWTX watching for pop through the 21ema and range pivot

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.10.27

UBER watching for pop through the 21ema

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.11.16

ACLX watching for follow through up through today’s high

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.12.28

GEV ideally forms an inside day but watching for break through this pivot

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.13.57

FUTU watching for push through the highs of this range

Xnapper 2025 03 19 17.23.15 1024x582

Watchlist in List form

Potential Leaders + Mega Caps ( Overall leading to the downside for now)

NVDA, TSLA, META, RDDT, PLTR, OKTA, MSTR, ROOT, BABA, TGTX

Stock on Watch

RBRK, TME, RKT, QFIN, ASND, GEV, MP, ROOT, ADMA, ZLAB, CRK, VRTX, BROS, AXSM, FUTU, PAGP, GH, AHR, MDGL, GILD, PTGX, TPL

Themes and Leaders

Strongest Themes: China, Biotech/Pharma, Insurance, Miners, Health Care Equipment, Oil & Gas

Market Thoughts & Focus

A bit more chop today but starting to notice my watchlist acting better than the Market. ADMA +10%, GH +5%, BROS +5%, GEV +5%, TPL +3%.

Still however there does not seem to be a leading growth theme as the current leaders are in Biotech, Miners, Oil and gas… Still a constructive sign.

In the growth space

Anything can happen, Day by Day – Managing risk along the way

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