
The Market Makes New Lows
Richard Moglen
Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue
March 13, 2025
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Market Action
QQQ – Sharp pullback and test of the recent lows, this area needs to hold. This selling has been steady and severe. We remain below all the moving averages. Rallies into the declining 10 ema would be suspect. Volatility remains high and sharp counter trend rallies can be expected.
The short term expectation based on today’s close and recent action is consolidation or lower.
Bulls want to see us put in a positive expectation breaker with a gap up and hold. Or a significant move lower than then reverses and closes strongly.
Bears want to see us follow through lower
Daily Chart of the QQQ:

IWM – New lows in this downtrend

IBIT- Reversal back down below the declining MAs.
Trends (0/4 Up) – Based on the QQQ
Shortest – 10 Day EMA – Below declining
Short-term – 21 ema – Below declining
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Below declining
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Below Increasing
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Groups/Sectors
Performance Today from open on the Left, Performance over the past 20 days on the right.
Performance Charts from Deepvue
Deepvue Leaders Heatmap

S&P 500

Heatmap from Deepvue
Group Ranks: 1 Day, 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Month from left to right. This is now a preset for Deepvue Members

Leaders and Key Moves
Important Note: Many of these “leaders” are leading to the downside. Still they provide a good gauge of market environment. As new leaders reveal themselves I will curate this list.
NVDA held up better than most today but at the declining MAs. Bulls want to see a higher low and follow through up. Bears want to see a reversal back lower

TSLA close off lows but still in a downtrend and up again declining MAs

META Downside reversal closing at lows below the 200sma

RDDT follow through down after testing the 10ema area

PLTR reversal back down

OKTA Building out the flag, the 10ema area key level to hold

MSTR tight day into the declining 10ema

ROOT Coiled between the pivot and 10ema

Stocks Setting Up / Showing RS
5 Day Slope % Change in Deepvue has been my new favorite way of spotting stocks showing Relative Strength.
As mentioned before 1 day of positive action is not enough, we want to look for persistent relative strength and stocks that are forming sound bases in new leading themes. There is not much of that second part yet so we are casting a wide net
In this type of market something that can look to be holding up well can completely fall apart the next day. Need to be nimble, selective, and quick if participating at all.
PTGX pulling back, watching for a flag to build out

HSAI pulling back, watching for reconfirmation up

XPEV china names continue to act well

SARO Recent IPO in Aerospace field worth keeping an eye on. Not very liquid

GFI miners continue to act well along with GLD and SLV

BE pulling back into the MAs, key area to hold for this base to shape up

ADMA ideally flags out letting the MAs catch up

RRC forming a range here at the 21ema. This is a name that can run albeit choppy. Overall has been basing since 2022. See EQT as well same theme

CRK same theme as RRC and EQT

AU with miners acting well

TGTX pulling into the pivot, watching for respect

AEM fade but poking its head out. AGI PAAS WPM GOLD

ACMR continues to trend, strong RS for Semi name

VRTX biotech fade but testing highs. Ideally contracts

ARQT some follow through down

ZLAB push off the pivot

MCK pulliing back to the pivot

MP has been very choppy hear with wicks, needs to clear this area or suspect

YOU pulling into the MA confluence, watching for a push higher

BABA nice little range here, lots of eyes on this though

ERJ forming this range

AXSM forming a range below the 21ema

Watchlist in List form
Potential Leaders + Mega Caps ( Overall leading to the downside for now)
NVDA, TSLA, META, RDDT, PLTR, OKTA, MSTR, ROOT
Stock on Watch
PTGX, HSAI, XPEV, SARO, GFI, BE, ADMA, RRC, EQT, CRK, AU, TGTX, AEM, AGI, PAAS, WPM, GOLD, ACMR, VRTX, ARQT, ZLAB, MCK, MP, YOU, BABA, ERJ, AXSM
Themes and Leaders
Strongest Themes: Insurance, Biotech, Miners, Health Care Equipment, China, Aerospace/Defense.
Energy/Oil and Gas stood out to me today
Market Thoughts & Focus
We tested lows today, the focus is on names that are forming higher lows is the market continues down. There’s not much out there standing out that looks promising.
We didn’t get the follow through up today and instead made new lows. That being said we have not made much progress downwards over the past 4 bars.
Anything can happen, Day by Day – Managing risk along the way


