CAVA SG Break Out – Small Caps Rally after Powell gives Clarity

Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen

Stock Trader & Student of the Markets. I help traders improve their systems & performance at TraderLion & Deepvue

Market Action

QQQ – Inside day, holding the 50 day and key level confluence. New highs increase and breadth

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IWM – downside reversal but holding lows for now

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Market Corrections Case Studies

Most of you have probably already read through these but I will include them daily until we resolve the correction



Here are the two case studies of 2018 and 2020 that provide examples of what you can expect form a correction just in case you haven’t seen them yet.

I’ve been taking a look at recent sharp corrections. Here is the 2024 Correction so far compared to the 2020 Correction. Patience (while still prepping for the uptrend) until test/reclaim moving averages from below + form a higher low. If active, tight leashes on trades

QQQ 2024 versus 2020 Case Study – All corrections exhibit similar type action.

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Here is the current 2024 Correction versus the 2018 Correction. Notice in that one there were similar points where it looked to be over, only for the rally to fail at key MAs. We’ll see how this current one ultimately resolves. The low could be in, one day at a time.

QQQ 2024 versus 2018 Case Study – Patience is required during corrections, taking it day by until the market proves itself.

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Also key is how potential leaders are acting. As the correction ends they will be all setting up and breaking out through pivots.

Look for group action, big gap ups, volume surges, Higher lows as the market makes lower ones, reclaims of moving averages

Avoiding the chop and frustration is key during corrections. Experienced traders can look to pick spots, daytrade or see if levels holds during the day to hold through the close but less is more until the wind is back at our back.

With all that said you should be getting excited. We’ve had some great opportunities in 2023 and 2024 and this correction is setting up another one. The longer this goes on and the deeper the correction, the greater the potential for another uptrend that could change your year and life. You just have to do your homework and be ready mentally when that happens.

Trends (4/4 Up)

Shortest – 10 Day EMA – Up – Above Rising
Short-term – 21 ema – Up – Above Rising
Intermediate term – 50 sma – Above Rising
Longterm – 200 sma – Up – Above Rising

Groups/Sectors – % Change from Open

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Performance Charts from Deepvue

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Heatmap from Deepvue

Key Stocks in Deepvue

NVDA positive expectation breaker and inside day, setting up a topside pivot before earnings next week

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CAVA strong earnings move on HVE. This is a model book stock and could just be getting started

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MSTR, Crypto names on the move off low cheats

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SG strong move since the 10ema retest.

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WING as well pushing

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KVYO outside day and breakout

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UBER outside day at the key level

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NRG forming a handle. Strong Uptrend

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ASPN same space as NRG faster move flagging

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FOUR push today, still in the flag

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DOCS disappointing it didn’t push out today. tight closes needs to get moving

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SN upside reversal see if t can follow through

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PLTR flagging into the 10ema area

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TGTX flagging post breakout, see if we get it to reconfirm

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IBIT strong breakout through the MAs from the tight area

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TSLA positive expectation breaker and inside day.

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Market Thoughts

Very constructive day! We got clarity from powell and stocks responded. Small caps excelled and growth names acted very well. QQQ tight above the 50 sma.

Day by Day – Managing risk along the way


Written by: Richard Moglen


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